By: Ethan Hurwitz and Connor Wilson
With two games remaining in the MAAC regular season, there are three schools still vying for one of the conference’s top seeds.
Right now, No. 1 Quinnipiac and No. 2 Marist are both in the driver’s seat to claiming the trophy, though Merrimack still has a chance to capture a share in its first season as a MAAC program. Here’s a look at how the Bobcats, Red Foxes and Warriors could all end the season claiming at least a share of the regular season crown.
How Quinnipiac could win: As of today, the Bobcats (14-4 entering Thursday) currently control their own destiny. Their magic number is two. Two wins (with games against 11-7 Mount St. Mary’s and 7-11 Fairfield on the docket) gives Quinnipiac its second-straight regular season title. One win, along with one loss from Marist, and the crown will remain in Hamden for a second consecutive year.
A 10-point loss to Merrimack on Sunday almost sunk the Bobcats’ chances to reclaim the conference’s top spot, but with Marist getting upset by Saint Peter’s just moments later, the loss became evened out.
They would clinch a share of the title with a single win, but if the Red Foxes were to win out, the MAAC’s top seed would make its way to Poughkeepsie, New York instead of Connecticut. But if you ask the Bobcats directly, they’ll tell you they aren’t scoreboard watching.
“We’re focused on us right now, whether we’re first, second, whatever you want to call it,” junior forward Amarri Monroe said. “One game winning streaks, whoever we got next on our schedule, that’s the game we’re worried about.”
How Marist could win: Even being just one game behind the Bobcats with two to play, the Red Foxes (13-5 entering Thursday) are in a much better position than you might think. Having won the lone matchup between the two teams on Jan. 5, Marist owns the tiebreaker over Quinnipiac in the event that the two teams end up tied on Saturday night.
The Red Foxes had a chance to even the gap on Sunday, but surprisingly fell at home to a Saint Peter’s squad near the bottom of the standings, fighting to even qualify for the MAAC Tournament
Having missed that opportunity, there’s still a clear path for some hardware this weekend. As long as Marist finishes one game better than the Bobcats — either 2-0 vs. 1-1 or 1-1 vs. 0-2 — the Red Foxes would have both a share of the regular season title, as well as the No. 1 seed in Atlantic City next week.
If Marist wins out and Quinnipiac subsequently loses out, the same result occurs except the Red Foxes would be alone as outright champions of the MAAC regular season title.
With a home game against Merrimack and road clash with Mount St. Mary’s remaining, the Red Foxes will definitely have to earn any share or outright title over the next three days taking on the other two teams ranked in the top four in the league.
“We’re looking to win a championship, so we take it one game at a time,” Marist sophomore guard Jadin Collins-Roberts said. “We have more work to do.”
How Merrimack could win: The Warriors (13-6 entering Thursday) don’t have a physical path for the No. 1 seed in Atlantic City, but can still clinch a share of the regular season title this weekend. A solid win over the Bobcats last Sunday helped pull the Warriors closer to the top of the standings after a streaky stretch of games.
“We needed that in the worst way,” Merrimack head coach Joe Gallo said after the win over Quinnipiac. “We’ve had a tough stretch with a couple of close losses. I wasn’t particularly happy with our effort against Rider. The score was close, but that wasn’t a Merrimack team that I know. Sometimes it’s good to have a little reset when you get down the stretch with the conference tournament coming up.”
For starters, Merrimack has to win its final game on Thursday on the road against Marist, the first time these two teams will play since the Warriors one-point loss on Feb 16. A win would clinch at least the No. 2 seed for the tournament.
In one scenario, the Warriors would need Quinnipiac to lose both of its remaining games and have Marist go at most 1-1. With the Red Foxes hosting the Warriors, that one loss almost becomes a moot point. If that were to happen, there would be a three-way tie between the top three teams, all of whom would be 14-6 and collect a share of the regular season title.
The other way that Merrimack can clinch a share once again involves the Warriors defeating Marist and the Bobcats losing out. In this scenario, Marist would lose its final game against Mount St. Mary’s, which as a result, would mean 14-6 Quinnipiac and 14-6 Merrimack would be the only two schools to have a share of the regular season title, not Marist — who would finish out the year at 13-7.
While the Warriors can’t clinch the No. 1 seed and need a lot to happen out of their control to even have a share of first, the team’s impressive first season after jumping from the NEC to the MAAC should leave fans happy heading into the postseason.
The MAAC Tournament will run from March 11 to 15 in Atlantic City, New Jersey ahead of Selection Sunday and the ensuing national tournament.